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Ratings analysis: Region I Regionals (GU13)

There were 27 games. In 23 of them, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 23 games,

• higher-rated won 19/23 = 82% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 2/23 = 9% of the time.

• higher-rated tied 2/23 = 9% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was South Central (CT) 2-1 over Bethesda Freedom (MD) [rating difference of 180] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Beadling (PAW) 1-1 Bethesda Freedom (MD) [rating difference of 184] in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region II Regionals (GU13)

There were 24 games. We have no rating for Red River (ND), so those games are excluded, leaving 21 games. In 14 of those games, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 14 games,

• higher-rated won 11/14 = 79% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 2/14 = 14% of the time.

• higher-rated tied 1/14 = 7% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Internationals (OHN) 1-0 over St. Louis SC (MO) [rating difference of 186] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Mequon Red (WI) 1-1 Chicago Magic (IL) [rating difference of 180], also in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region III Regionals (GU13)

There aren’t Regionals in Region III for GU13, so there is nothing to report.

Ratings analysis: Region IV Regionals (GU13)

There were 31 games. In 26 of them, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 26 games,

• higher-rated won 22/26 = 84% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 3/26 = 12% of the time.

• higher-rated tied 1/26 = 4% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Las Vegas Premier White (NV) 4-3 over Deschutes Spirit (OR) [rating difference of 300] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Celtic Storm (UT) 0-0 Emerald City Green (WA) [rating difference of 128] in RR play.


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