Ratings analysis: Region I Regionals (GU14)

There were 27 games. In 26 of them, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 26 games,

• higher-rated won 19/26 = 73% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 2/26 = 8% of the time.

• higher-rated tied 5/26 = 19% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Buffalo United Fusion (NYW) 2-0 over BSC Bays (MD) [rating difference of 199] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Beadling (PAW) 2-2 PDA Tsunami (NJ) [rating difference of 216] in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region II Regionals (GU14)

There were 27 games. The analysis was complicated by the presence of CASA Black (OHN). We have no rating for this team, because it is apparently a tournament team put together to enter the State Cup in OHN. We do not cover tournament teams (those put together to enter a tournament, like ODP teams, League select, etc.), and hence will not include CASA in the ratings until it becomes clear that it is in fact a real team. We have excluded any CASA games from the analysis. That leaves 24 games to be considered.

In 22 of the 24, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 22 games,

• higher-rated won 15/22 = 68% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 4/22 = 18% of the time.

• higher-rated tied 3/22 = 14% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was FC Milwaukee Blue (WI-MWRL) 3-2 over KCFC Alliance Intensity (KS) [rating difference of 297] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was CUSC Academy (IN) 1-1 Eclipse Select (IL) [rating difference of 285] in the semifinals.

Ratings analysis: Region III Regionals (GU14)

There were 31 games. In 27 of them, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 27 games,

• higher-rated won 21/27 = 77% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 1/27 = 4% of the time.

• higher-rated tied 5/27 = 19% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Arkansas Phoenix (AR) 2-1 over Birmingham Lady Jets Blue (AL) [rating difference of 333] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Arkansas Phoenix (AR) 0-0 Melbourne Beach Tsunami (FL) [rating difference of 532] in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region IV Regionals (GU14)

There were 31 games. In 23 of them, the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more).

In those 23 games,

• higher-rated won 19/23 = 83% of the time.

• higher-rated lost 4/23 = 17% of the time.

There were no ties in these 23 games.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was NWN Rayos (WA-WC) 1-0 over MVLA Avalanche (CAN) [rating difference of 192] in RR play.

There were no upset ties, since there were no ties (in these 23 games).