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Regionals Rating Analysis GU14

In all cases, the only games considered are those for which the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more). For such games, the W-L-T record is given for the higher-rated team.

Ratings analysis: Region I

There were 21 games where there was a significant rating difference:
  • higher-rated won 15/21 = 71% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 1/21 = 5% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 5/21 = 24% of the time.

The only upset win by the lower-rated team was Stars (MA) 3-2 over FC Pennsylvania (PAE) [rating difference of 200] in the semifinals.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Albertson Fury (NYE) 1-1 FC Pennsylvania (NYE) [rating difference of 354] in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region II

There were 16 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 10/16 = 62% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 2/16 = 13% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 4/16 = 25% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was NEW United (WI) 1-0 over Michigan Hawks Black (MI) [rating difference of 306] in RR play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Central KY Lightning (KY) 0-0 NEW United (WI) [rating difference of 200] in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region III

There were 27 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 15/27 = 55% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 5/27 = 19% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 7/27 = 26% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was D’feeters (TXN) 2-1 over NASA Elite II (GA) [rating difference of 282] in the quarterfinals.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Redoubt Black (TN) 2-2 Solar Red (TXN) [rating difference of 480] in RR play.

Ratings analysis: Region IV

There were 27 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 20/27 = 74% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 4/27 = 15% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 3/27 = 11% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was La Roca PT (UT) 3-0 Real SoCal (CAS) [rating difference of 282] in the quarterfinals.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was La Roca PT (UT) 0-0 SJ Spirits Blue (CAN) [rating difference of 319] in the semifinals (game won by Spirits Blue on KFM).


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