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2009 Regionals Rating Analysis GU16

In all cases, the only games considered are those for which the ratings of the teams were significantly different (75 points or more). For such games, the W-L-T record is given for the higher-rated team.

Ratings analysis: Region I

There were 19 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 14/19 = 74% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 3/19 = 16% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 2/19 = 10% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Hockessin Academy Select (DE) 3-2 over Bethesda Dragons (MD) [rating difference of 293] in group play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Burlington Lakers (VT) 1-1 Seacoast Premier (DE) [rating difference of 419] in group play.

Ratings analysis: Region II

There were 25 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 19/24 = 76% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 2/25 = 8% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 4/25 = 16% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was SLSG Green (OHN) 1-0 over Michigan Hawks (MI) [rating difference of 118] in group play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Rushmore Gold (ND) 0-0 SLSG Green (MO) [rating difference of 570] in group play.

Ratings analysis: Region III

There were 27 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 22/27 = 81% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 2/27 = 7% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 3/27 = 11% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Hurricane FC Shubert (OK) 2-1 over Dallas Texans Red (TXN) [rating difference of 348] in group play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Arkansas Rush Nike (AR) 0-0 BUSA Elite (AL) [rating difference of 367] in group play.

Ratings analysis: Region IV

There were 24 games where there was a significant rating difference:

  • higher-rated won 19/24 = 79% of the time.
  • higher-rated lost 3/24 = 13% of the time.
  • higher-rated tied 2/24 = 8% of the time.

The biggest upset win by the lower-rated team was Magic City White (MT) 5-4 over La Roca Premier AO (UT) [rating difference of 468] in group play.

The biggest upset tie by the lower-rated team was Magic City White (MT) 1-1 Neusport Green (NV) [rating difference of 484] in group play.


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